Levski Sofia 3-3 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 18%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.93/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.36
+12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-1 HT 0-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
29.03.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-0 HT 1-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
27.09.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-2 HT 0-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
3-3
AWAY Slavia Sofia
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia and Slavia Sofia couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Levski Sofia at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 67% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 33%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Levski Sofia and 0.00 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?

Levski Sofia 3-3 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 56%, draw 25%, Slavia Sofia 19%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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