Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
53%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
13%
+8.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.0pp
53%
Away Win
67%
-13.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.7pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 71%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
0.76/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.37
+6% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +97%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
28% Ball Possession 72%
2 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
16.03.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 6-0 HT 3-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
24.09.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-3 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
21.04.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1-2
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad nicked a narrow win over Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 41% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 59%, shots finished 9-18.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 3.00 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 22%, draw 26%, Ludogorets Razgrad 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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