Esbjerg 0-1 Hvidovre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

Esbjerg
0-1 HT 0-0
Hvidovre
📅09/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Esbjerg vs Hvidovre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.2
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 25% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.86
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
9%
12.1
X/1
14%
5.96
X/2
16%
5.86
X/X
14%
4.43
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
11%
3.76
2/X
8%
12.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.9pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.5pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Esbjerg v Hvidovre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +15%
1.43/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.11
+13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +96%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 76%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
16.7 Crosses 18.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3

Esbjerg vs Hvidovre Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esbjerg
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Hvidovre
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.36 xG 2.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
283 Passes 361
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Hvidovre Hvidovre 3-2 HT 1-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
02.12.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 2-0 HT 1-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
20.08.2021 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-2 HT 1-2 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
20.12.2020 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-1 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
20.10.2020 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-2 HT 0-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1

Esbjerg 0-1 Hvidovre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esbjerg
0-1
AWAY Hvidovre
0.96 xG 1.42
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
281 Passes 354
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs Hvidovre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hvidovre squeezed past Esbjerg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Hvidovre found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Esbjerg had 45% of the ball to Hvidovre's 55%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 0.96 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hvidovre led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Esbjerg and 1.80 for Hvidovre.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs Hvidovre?

Esbjerg 0-1 Hvidovre in the Denmark 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs Hvidovre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 35%, draw 32%, Hvidovre 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Esbjerg), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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