Hvidovre 3-2 Esbjerg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.55
No
53%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.84
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
18%
4.99
X/2
9%
6.98
X/X
10%
5.24
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
13%
4.55
2/X
6%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
45%
+4.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.9pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.82/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.79
-1% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
370 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
20.4 Crosses 14.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hvidovre
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Esbjerg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.98 xG 1.51
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
329 Passes 298
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 2-0 HT 1-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
20.08.2021 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-2 HT 1-2 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
20.12.2020 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-1 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
20.10.2020 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-2 HT 0-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hvidovre
3-2
AWAY Esbjerg
2.11 xG 1.05
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
425 Passes 251
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
39 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hvidovre vs Esbjerg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hvidovre edged past Esbjerg 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hvidovre as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hvidovre had 60% of the ball to Esbjerg's 40%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.11 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hvidovre had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hvidovre and 0.50 for Esbjerg.

What was the final score of Hvidovre vs Esbjerg?

Hvidovre 3-2 Esbjerg in the Denmark 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hvidovre vs Esbjerg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hvidovre win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hvidovre 50%, draw 23%, Esbjerg 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hvidovre), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hvidovre) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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