Naestved vs Thisted Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naestved v Thisted — Team-Based Signals
Naestved vs Thisted Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-3
HT 2-1
Thisted
DAN2
2-1
HT 1-0
Naestved
DAN2
Naestved 2-1 Thisted — Actual Match Statistics
Naestved squeezed past Thisted 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Naestved as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Naestved had 61% of the ball to Thisted's 39%, shots finished 12-8.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Naestved had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Naestved and 1.67 for Thisted.
What was the final score of Naestved vs Thisted?
Naestved 2-1 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naestved vs Thisted?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Naestved 54%, draw 28%, Thisted 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naestved) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.