Harju Jalgpallikool 2-0 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
42%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
46%
-11.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
42%
Away Win
30%
+11.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 33%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -2%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.76
-100% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
31.10.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-2 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
16.09.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-1 HT 0-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
28.06.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
15.03.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-2 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
2-0
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harju Jalgpallikool beat Tallinna Kalev 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tallinna Kalev at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Harju Jalgpallikool had 39% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 61%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tallinna Kalev led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 1.75 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna Kalev?

Harju Jalgpallikool 2-0 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tallinna Kalev win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 34%, draw 24%, Tallinna Kalev 42%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tallinna Kalev) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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