Paide Linnameeskond 4-0 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.8pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.56/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.71
+9% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
274 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.03.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
06.10.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
01.09.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-4 HT 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
22.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
08.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju ESTK
14.04.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 HT 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
4-0
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond swept aside Nomme JK Kalju 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 57% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 43%, shots finished 18-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.50 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Paide Linnameeskond 4-0 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 48%, draw 22%, Nomme JK Kalju 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5
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