Consadole Sapporo 1-3 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 9 Mar 2025

Consadole Sapporo
1-3 HT 1-2
JEF United
📅09/03/2025 · 🕒07:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2025

Consadole Sapporo vs JEF United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.08
6+ Goals
9%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 30% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Consadole Sapporo v JEF United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 48%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -8%
2.02/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.28
+82% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 20.4
– Yellow Cards 1.7

Consadole Sapporo vs JEF United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY JEF United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
21.08.2024 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JPK
01.11.2015 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 3-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
06.06.2015 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 0-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP2
18.05.2014 JEF United JEF United 2-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP2
13.07.2008 JEF United JEF United 0-3 HT 0-2 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
25.05.2008 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-2 HT 1-1 JEF United JEF United JLK

Consadole Sapporo 1-3 JEF United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
1-3
AWAY JEF United
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 2
391 Passes 160
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
31 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United saw off Consadole Sapporo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day JEF United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 68% of the ball to JEF United's 32%, shots finished 23-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 1.33 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs JEF United?

Consadole Sapporo 1-3 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 33%, draw 30%, JEF United 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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