Kataller Toyama 3-1 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.83/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.02
+65% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
18.05.2014 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-1 HT 0-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
3-1
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
31% Ball Possession 69%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
163 Passes 451
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama beat Jubilo Iwata 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Kataller Toyama made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 31% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 69%, shots finished 17-12.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Jubilo Iwata?

Kataller Toyama 3-1 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J2 League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jubilo Iwata win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 32%, draw 28%, Jubilo Iwata 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
9 Mar 2025
07:05 Consadole Sapporo vs JEF United Analysis →
08:00 Montedio Yamagata vs Blaublitz Akita Analysis →
08:00 Ventforet Kofu vs Fujieda MYFC Analysis →
08:00 Tokushima Vortis vs Roasso Kumamoto Analysis →
08:00 Iwaki vs Sagan Tosu Analysis →
08:00 Oita Trinita vs Mito HollyHock Analysis →