Kisvarda 4-0 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-6.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
1.50/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.33
-17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kisvarda
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ajka
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Ajka Ajka 3-2 HT 2-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kisvarda
4-0
AWAY Ajka
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kisvarda vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kisvarda swept aside Ajka 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kisvarda as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kisvarda had 51% of the ball to Ajka's 49%, shots finished 6-6.

What was the final score of Kisvarda vs Ajka?

Kisvarda 4-0 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kisvarda vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kisvarda win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kisvarda 50%, draw 24%, Ajka 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kisvarda), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kisvarda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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