Trencin 3-2 Zemplin Michalovce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 26% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trencin EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.55/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.18
+1% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
20.0 Crosses 16.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trencin
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.55 xG 0.81
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
377 Passes 221
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Trencin Trencin 0-0 HT 0-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
14.09.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 1-1 HT 1-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
04.05.2024 Trencin Trencin 1-0 HT 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
06.04.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 0-0 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
04.11.2023 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 0-0 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
05.08.2023 Trencin Trencin 2-0 HT 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trencin
3-2
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
1.39 xG 1.05
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
317 Passes 307
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trencin vs Zemplin Michalovce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trencin nicked a narrow win over Zemplin Michalovce 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Trencin as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Trencin had 50% of the ball to Zemplin Michalovce's 50%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.39 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trencin had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Trencin and 0.17 for Zemplin Michalovce.

What was the final score of Trencin vs Zemplin Michalovce?

Trencin 3-2 Zemplin Michalovce in the Slovakia Super League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trencin vs Zemplin Michalovce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trencin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Trencin 43%, draw 26%, Zemplin Michalovce 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trencin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trencin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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