Elazığspor 3-1 Erbaaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
24%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.13
No
47%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
71%
-17.8pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.3pp
24%
Away Win
11%
+13.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
43%
+10.2pp
47%
BTTS No
57%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elazığspor EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 14%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.64/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.02
-23% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elazığspor
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Erbaaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
26.10.2024 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Elazığspor Elazığspor T2L-K
27.03.2022 Elazığspor Elazığspor 2-2 HT 1-0 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor S3-1
07.11.2021 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Elazığspor Elazığspor S3-1
POST-MATCH Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elazığspor saw off Erbaaspor 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elazığspor as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Erbaaspor led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Elazığspor and 2.00 for Erbaaspor.

What was the final score of Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor?

Elazığspor 3-1 Erbaaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elazığspor win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Elazığspor 53%, draw 23%, Erbaaspor 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elazığspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elazığspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T2L-K More Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup
9 Mar 2025
13:00 Van Spor FK vs Ankara Demirspor Analysis →
13:00 Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü vs Diyarbekir Spor Analysis →
14:00 Nazilli Belediyespor vs Somaspor Analysis →
14:00 Karaman Futbol Kulübü vs Serik Belediyespor Analysis →
14:00 Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor Analysis →
14:00 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Giresunspor Analysis →