Erbaaspor 1-1 Elazığspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Elazığspor EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erbaaspor
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Elazığspor
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.03.2022 Elazığspor Elazığspor 2-2 HT 1-0 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor S3-1
07.11.2021 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Elazığspor Elazığspor S3-1
POST-MATCH Erbaaspor vs Elazığspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbaaspor and Elazığspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Elazığspor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Erbaaspor had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Erbaaspor and 1.00 for Elazığspor.

What was the final score of Erbaaspor vs Elazığspor?

Erbaaspor 1-1 Elazığspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbaaspor vs Elazığspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elazığspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Erbaaspor 31%, draw 27%, Elazığspor 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Elazığspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elazığspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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