Arnavutköy Belediye 1-0 Menemen FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.2pp
32%
Draw
26%
+7.0pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Menemen FK EU Bookmakers 54%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+11% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Menemen FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2024 Menemen FK Menemen FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye S2-K
10.09.2023 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 1-1 HT 0-1 Menemen FK Menemen FK S2-K
29.03.2023 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 1-2 HT 0-1 Menemen FK Menemen FK T2L-K
15.10.2022 Menemen FK Menemen FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye
1-0
AWAY Menemen FK
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arnavutköy Belediye vs Menemen FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutköy Belediye squeezed past Menemen FK 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Menemen FK at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arnavutköy Belediye had 44% of the ball to Menemen FK's 56%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arnavutköy Belediye and 1.00 for Menemen FK.

What was the final score of Arnavutköy Belediye vs Menemen FK?

Arnavutköy Belediye 1-0 Menemen FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arnavutköy Belediye vs Menemen FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Menemen FK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arnavutköy Belediye 22%, draw 32%, Menemen FK 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Menemen FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Menemen FK) ✓ Under 2.5
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