Ankara Demirspor 1-2 Van Spor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ankara Demirspor EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 51%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.93/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.79
+4% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +17%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
226 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ankara Demirspor
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Van Spor FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2023 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 3-2 HT 1-1 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK S2-B
09.04.2023 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK S2-K
30.10.2022 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor S2-K
23.02.2020 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 2-1 HT 0-1 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ankara Demirspor
1-2
AWAY Van Spor FK
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ankara Demirspor vs Van Spor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Van Spor FK edged past Ankara Demirspor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Van Spor FK as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ankara Demirspor had 52% of the ball to Van Spor FK's 48%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Van Spor FK led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ankara Demirspor and 1.75 for Van Spor FK.

What was the final score of Ankara Demirspor vs Van Spor FK?

Ankara Demirspor 1-2 Van Spor FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ankara Demirspor vs Van Spor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Van Spor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ankara Demirspor 28%, draw 28%, Van Spor FK 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Van Spor FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Van Spor FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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