Somaspor 2-0 Nazilli Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-14.8pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.6pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.8pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Somaspor EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 20%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.56/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.38
-6% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Somaspor
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.10.2024 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 1-5 HT 1-1 Somaspor Somaspor TÜK
07.05.2023 Somaspor Somaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor S2-B
04.12.2022 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 2-0 HT 0-0 Somaspor Somaspor S2-B
19.02.2020 Somaspor Somaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor S3-3
09.10.2019 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 1-1 HT 1-1 Somaspor Somaspor S3-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Somaspor
2-0
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Somaspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Somaspor beat Nazilli Belediyespor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Somaspor as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Somaspor had 49% of the ball to Nazilli Belediyespor's 51%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Somaspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Somaspor and 0.80 for Nazilli Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Somaspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Somaspor 2-0 Nazilli Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Somaspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Somaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Somaspor 46%, draw 31%, Nazilli Belediyespor 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Somaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Somaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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