Nazilli Belediyespor 1-5 Somaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 9 Oct 2024

📅09/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
43%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-7.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Somaspor EU Bookmakers 55%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-28% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
224 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Somaspor
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2023 Somaspor Somaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor S2-B
04.12.2022 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 2-0 HT 0-0 Somaspor Somaspor S2-B
19.02.2020 Somaspor Somaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor S3-3
09.10.2019 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 1-1 HT 1-1 Somaspor Somaspor S3-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor
1-5
AWAY Somaspor
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nazilli Belediyespor vs Somaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Somaspor ran out comfortable winners over Nazilli Belediyespor 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Somaspor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nazilli Belediyespor had 44% of the ball to Somaspor's 56%, shots finished 14-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Nazilli Belediyespor and 0.75 for Somaspor.

What was the final score of Nazilli Belediyespor vs Somaspor?

Nazilli Belediyespor 1-5 Somaspor in the Turkey - Cup on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nazilli Belediyespor vs Somaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Somaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nazilli Belediyespor 28%, draw 28%, Somaspor 43%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Somaspor), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Somaspor) ✓ Over 2.5
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