Korba 1-1 ES Rades — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.59
Over 2.5
34%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
3.49
No
69%
1.25
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
74%
-14.9pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.9pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.0pp
31%
BTTS Yes
24%
+6.8pp
69%
BTTS No
76%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korba EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Rades EU Bookmakers 9%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.74/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.25
-53% / +147% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
316 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 157 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korba
1W-1D-0L
AWAY ES Rades
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 ES Rades ES Rades 1-1 Korba Korba TUN2
12.03.2023 Korba Korba 2-1 HT 0-0 ES Rades ES Rades TUN2
POST-MATCH Korba vs ES Rades
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korba and ES Rades couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Korba carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (69%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Korba had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Korba and 1.00 for ES Rades.

What was the final score of Korba vs ES Rades?

Korba 1-1 ES Rades in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korba vs ES Rades?

Before kick-off our model rated a Korba win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Korba 59%, draw 26%, ES Rades 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Korba), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Korba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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