AS Ariana 1-2 Hammam-Lif — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.5pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.4pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.8pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammam-Lif EU Bookmakers 17%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
3.55/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.69
+138% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
401 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 199 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Ariana
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hammam-Lif
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.11.2024 Hammam-Lif Hammam-Lif 1-1 AS Ariana TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Ariana
1-2
AWAY Hammam-Lif
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AS Ariana vs Hammam-Lif
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammam-Lif squeezed past AS Ariana 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was AS Ariana at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Ariana had 44% of the ball to Hammam-Lif's 56%, shots finished 5-9.

What was the final score of AS Ariana vs Hammam-Lif?

AS Ariana 1-2 Hammam-Lif in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs Hammam-Lif?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Ariana win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 54%, draw 29%, Hammam-Lif 17%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AS Ariana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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