Shandong Taishan 2-2 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 9 Apr 2024

Shandong Taishan
2-2 HT 0-0
Henan Jianye
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Shandong Taishan vs Henan Jianye Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
7.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.9
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.2
X/1
21%
3.87
X/2
7%
11.25
X/X
10%
6.55
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.2
2/2
7%
8.06
2/X
7%
16.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.2 — our 7% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shandong Taishan v Henan Jianye — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.39/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.20
+16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
24.1 Crosses 16.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1

Shandong Taishan vs Henan Jianye Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Henan Jianye
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.54 xG 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
316 Passes 264
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 5-1 HT 2-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
07.07.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-1 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
28.06.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-0 HT 2-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
08.06.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 4-1 HT 3-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
06.11.2021 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-4 HT 1-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNK
02.11.2021 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNK

Shandong Taishan 2-2 Henan Jianye — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan
2-2
AWAY Henan Jianye
2.66 xG 0.85
69% Ball Possession 31%
28 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
470 Passes 146
85% Pass Accuracy 56%
48 Box Touches 7
36 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan and Henan Jianye couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Shandong Taishan at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Shandong Taishan had 69% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 31%, shots finished 28-4, expected goals 2.66 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Shandong Taishan and 1.17 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Henan Jianye?

Shandong Taishan 2-2 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 58%, draw 22%, Henan Jianye 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Shandong Taishan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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