Shanghai Shenhua 4-1 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
8%
8.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.76
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.35
X/1
15%
3.72
X/2
12%
13.25
X/X
14%
6.68
2/1
4%
20.9
2/2
7%
9.86
2/X
3%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-13.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.52/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.53
-10% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
393 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.4 Crosses 12.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.98 xG 1.34
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
255 Passes 362
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-2 HT 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
13.05.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
03.07.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 4-2 HT 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
12.06.2022 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
4-1
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
2.32 xG 0.20
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 3
421 Passes 282
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 11
31 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua ran out comfortable winners over Wuhan Three Towns 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shanghai Shenhua as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 58% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 42%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.32 to 0.20.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.75 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Shanghai Shenhua 4-1 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 52%, draw 23%, Wuhan Three Towns 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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ÇİN More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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