Ayr United 1-1 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.63
2-3 Goals
47%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.47
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.22
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
11%
5.58
X/2
12%
5.01
X/X
14%
4.07
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.62
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 42%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.13/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.90
-12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Greenock Morton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
02.01.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-0 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
28.10.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
05.08.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-1 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
08.04.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
07.03.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-3 HT 1-3 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
05.11.2022 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United and Greenock Morton couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ayr United and 1.67 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Greenock Morton?

Ayr United 1-1 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 38%, draw 27%, Greenock Morton 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ayr United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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