Greenock Morton 3-0 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 2 Jan 2024

Greenock Morton
3-0 HT 1-0
Ayr United
📅02/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2023/2024

Greenock Morton vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.08
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.67
6+ Goals
12%
15.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.67 — our 28% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.09
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
12%
4.71
X/2
16%
6.22
X/X
13%
4.56
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.5
2/2
17%
4.55
2/X
8%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-10.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greenock Morton v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.57/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.73
+0% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Greenock Morton vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ayr United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
05.08.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-1 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
08.04.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
07.03.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-3 HT 1-3 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
05.11.2022 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
22.09.2022 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-1 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCK

Greenock Morton 3-0 Ayr United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greenock Morton
3-0
AWAY Ayr United
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 3
8 Corners 1
FAQ Greenock Morton vs Ayr United
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Greenock Morton ran out comfortable winners over Ayr United 3-0 in the Scotland - Championship on 2 Jan 2024. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Greenock Morton had 57% of the ball to Ayr United's 43%, shots finished 14-3.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Greenock Morton and 1.17 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?

Greenock Morton 3-0 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 02/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 34%, draw 27%, Ayr United 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ayr United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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