Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 2 Jan 2024

Dunfermline Athletic
1-2 HT 1-1
Raith Rovers
📅02/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2023/2024

Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 28% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.77
1/2
8%
23.45
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
12%
6.85
X/2
11%
4.64
X/X
17%
5.12
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
20%
2.77
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.4pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.8pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dunfermline Athletic v Raith Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.06/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.19
-9% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Raith Rovers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
24.11.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-3 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
28.10.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
26.08.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
15.07.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKLK
06.04.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
02.01.2022 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL

Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 Raith Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
1-2
AWAY Raith Rovers
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Corners 7
FAQ Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Raith Rovers edged past Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 away from home in the Scotland - Championship on 2 Jan 2024. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dunfermline Athletic had 45% of the ball to Raith Rovers's 55%, shots finished 13-12.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raith Rovers lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 1.00 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers?

Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Championship on 02/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 30%, draw 32%, Raith Rovers 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raith Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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