Arbroath 0-3 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 2 Jan 2024

Arbroath
0-3 HT 0-1
Dundee United
📅02/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2023/2024

Arbroath vs Dundee United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
64%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.79
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.14
6+ Goals
12%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 30% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
12.55
1/2
7%
23.0
1/X
7%
20.75
X/1
6%
15.3
X/2
21%
3.42
X/X
6%
6.45
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
37%
1.65
2/X
6%
19.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
8%
+8.7pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.8pp
64%
Away Win
77%
-12.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arbroath v Dundee United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 81%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
0.44/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.41
-39% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +63%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
208 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Arbroath vs Dundee United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Dundee United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
The Meetings
27.10.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 6-0 HT 3-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
04.08.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 0-4 HT 0-4 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
17.07.2021 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKLK
01.02.2020 Dundee United Dundee United 0-1 HT 0-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
14.12.2019 Arbroath Arbroath 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
21.09.2019 Dundee United Dundee United 2-1 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL

Arbroath 0-3 Dundee United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arbroath
0-3
AWAY Dundee United
51% Ball Possession 49%
3 Total Shots 13
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United cruised past Arbroath 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dundee United as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arbroath had 51% of the ball to Dundee United's 49%, shots finished 3-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Arbroath and 2.33 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Dundee United?

Arbroath 0-3 Dundee United in the Scotland - Championship on 02/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 16%, draw 20%, Dundee United 64%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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