Independiente Petrolero vs Guabira Prediction — Model Probabilities
Independiente Petrolero v Guabira — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Petrolero vs Guabira Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Independiente Petrolero 3-2 Guabira — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Petrolero shaded a tight game against Guabira 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 51%.
By the numbers, Independiente Petrolero had 50% of the ball to Guabira's 50%, shots finished 20-24, expected goals 2.10 to 0.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Independiente Petrolero's control.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.40 for Guabira.
Independiente Petrolero vs Guabira Result & Final Score
Independiente Petrolero 3 - 2 Guabira in the Bolivia - Primera División on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Independiente Petrolero vs Guabira Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 59%, draw 24%, Guabira 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Petrolero), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.