Pontypridd Town AFC 0-0 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 9 Apr 2024

Pontypridd Town AFC
0-0 HT 0-0
Aberystwyth Town
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2023/2024

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.78
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
50%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.19
6+ Goals
7%
20.5
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.77 — our 50% vs market 49.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.0pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pontypridd Town AFC v Aberystwyth Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 33%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.79/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.43
+13% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Aberystwyth Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.12.2023 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
19.09.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALLK
29.08.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GAL
01.04.2023 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 1-1 HT 1-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
18.02.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 3-3 HT 1-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GAL
18.11.2022 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GAL
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC and Aberystwyth Town played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pontypridd Town AFC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pontypridd Town AFC and 1.00 for Aberystwyth Town.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Aberystwyth Town?

Pontypridd Town AFC 0-0 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - Premier League on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 40%, draw 31%, Aberystwyth Town 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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