The New Saints 4-1 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.22
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
78%
-9.8pp
19%
Draw
13%
+5.5pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+4.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
3.64/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.79
+28% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +47%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
466 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Bala Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 0-1 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
28.10.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 2-0 HT 2-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
13.09.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 0-0 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
30.04.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 6-0 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GALWK
14.04.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 0-2 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
13.03.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 2-1 HT 1-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
4-1
AWAY Bala Town
72% Ball Possession 28%
22 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints ran out comfortable winners over Bala Town 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, The New Saints had 72% of the ball to Bala Town's 28%, shots finished 22-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for The New Saints and 0.17 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Bala Town?

The New Saints 4-1 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 68%, draw 19%, Bala Town 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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