Liepaja 1-0 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 9 Apr 2024

Liepaja
1-0 HT 1-0
Auda
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2024

Liepaja vs Auda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liepaja v Auda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 53%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.98/2.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.73
-20% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +136%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
13.0 Crosses 16.2
3.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Liepaja vs Auda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Auda
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.32 xG 1.15
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
230 Passes 457
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
30.07.2023 Auda Auda 1-1 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
07.05.2023 Auda Auda 0-4 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
14.04.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
23.10.2022 Auda Auda 1-2 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
07.08.2022 Liepaja Liepaja 1-0 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET

Liepaja 1-0 Auda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
1-0
AWAY Auda
0.68 xG 1.54
25% Ball Possession 75%
3 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
101 Passes 516
50% Pass Accuracy 86%
5 Box Touches 34
7 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liepaja edged past Auda 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Auda at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Liepaja had 25% of the ball to Auda's 75%, shots finished 3-23, expected goals 0.68 to 1.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured Auda.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Liepaja and 0.67 for Auda.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Auda?

Liepaja 1-0 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 28%, draw 26%, Auda 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Auda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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