Valmiera / BSS 1-1 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.43
Over 2.5
47%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
72%
-19.4pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.3pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+12.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
421 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 69%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.9 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valmiera / BSS
1-1
AWAY Grobina
2.18 xG 0.40
69% Ball Possession 31%
33 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
412 Passes 128
80% Pass Accuracy 55%
50 Box Touches 11
42 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valmiera / BSS vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera / BSS and Grobina shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Valmiera / BSS at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Valmiera / BSS had 69% of the ball to Grobina's 31%, shots finished 33-4, expected goals 2.18 to 0.40.

What was the final score of Valmiera / BSS vs Grobina?

Valmiera / BSS 1-1 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valmiera / BSS vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Valmiera / BSS 52%, draw 25%, Grobina 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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