Maribor 5-0 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 9 Apr 2024

Maribor
5-0 HT 2-0
Mura
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.42
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.6pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.2pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.13/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.84
+18% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mura
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Mura Mura 3-0 HT 0-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
26.11.2023 Mura Mura 0-0 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
07.10.2023 Maribor Maribor 3-1 HT 2-1 Mura Mura SLVN
02.05.2023 Maribor Maribor 3-1 HT 2-1 Mura Mura SLVN
05.03.2023 Mura Mura 2-1 HT 2-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
06.11.2022 Maribor Maribor 5-1 HT 3-1 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
5-0
AWAY Mura
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor ran out comfortable winners over Mura 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Maribor had 63% of the ball to Mura's 37%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maribor and 1.33 for Mura.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Mura?

Maribor 5-0 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Maribor 54%, draw 23%, Mura 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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