Grand-Saconnex 1-2 Baden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grand-Saconnex EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Baden EU Bookmakers 24%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.51/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.00
-28% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grand-Saconnex
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Baden
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.10.2024 Baden Baden 1-2 Grand-Saconnex Grand-Saconnex İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grand-Saconnex
1-2
AWAY Baden
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Grand-Saconnex vs Baden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baden squeezed past Grand-Saconnex 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Grand-Saconnex at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grand-Saconnex had 50% of the ball to Baden's 50%.

What was the final score of Grand-Saconnex vs Baden?

Grand-Saconnex 1-2 Baden in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grand-Saconnex vs Baden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grand-Saconnex win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Grand-Saconnex 48%, draw 27%, Baden 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grand-Saconnex) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grand-Saconnex) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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