Orlando Pirates 0-0 MC Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.27
No
65%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.02
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.83
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.94
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.0
X/1
21%
4.36
X/2
12%
7.61
X/X
18%
3.5
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
7%
6.86
2/X
6%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.6pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Alger EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +61%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
Crosses 10.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
1W-0D-0L
AWAY MC Alger
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.43 xG 1.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 8
172 Passes 457
64% Pass Accuracy 82%
1 Box Touches 28
1 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2025 MC Alger MC Alger 0-1 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates CAFŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
0-0
AWAY MC Alger
0.36 xG 0.70
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
193 Passes 379
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
5 Box Touches 19
8 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs MC Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates and MC Alger played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Orlando Pirates at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 37% of the ball to MC Alger's 63%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.36 to 0.70.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs MC Alger?

Orlando Pirates 0-0 MC Alger in the CAF Champions League on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs MC Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 42%, draw 32%, MC Alger 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Orlando Pirates) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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