MC Alger 0-1 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 1 Apr 2025

MC Alger
0-1 HT 0-0
Orlando Pirates
📅01/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
CAF Champions League – 2024/2025

MC Alger vs Orlando Pirates Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
25%
2.83
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.45
Over 2.5
45%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.99
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.99
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.92
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
3%
14.45
X/1
7%
4.46
X/2
15%
7.98
X/X
13%
3.34
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
11%
7.17
2/X
9%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
32%
-6.8pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+10.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
65%
-10.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
35%
+10.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MC Alger v Orlando Pirates — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Alger EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
– Crosses 7.0
– Yellow Cards 4.0

MC Alger 0-1 Orlando Pirates — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MC Alger
0-1
AWAY Orlando Pirates
1.00 xG 0.43
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
457 Passes 172
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 1
34 Crosses 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MC Alger vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates nicked a narrow win over MC Alger 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was MC Alger at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, MC Alger had 68% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 32%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 1.00 to 0.43 — on chances, MC Alger could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of MC Alger vs Orlando Pirates?

MC Alger 0-1 Orlando Pirates in the CAF Champions League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Alger vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split MC Alger 42%, draw 25%, Orlando Pirates 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (MC Alger) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MC Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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