Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Mamelodi Sundowns v ES Tunis — Team-Based Signals
Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 ES Tunis — Actual Match Statistics
Mamelodi Sundowns nicked a narrow win over ES Tunis 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) landed.
On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 80% of the ball to ES Tunis's 20%, shots finished 9-4, expected goals 0.58 to 0.17.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, ES Tunis led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 1.00 for ES Tunis.
Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis Result & Final Score
Mamelodi Sundowns 1 - 0 ES Tunis in the CAF Champions League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 51%, draw 29%, ES Tunis 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.