Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mamelodi Sundowns v ES Tunis — Team-Based Signals
Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Mamelodi Sundowns
CAFŞL
1-2
HT 1-1
ES Tunis
CAFŞL
Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 ES Tunis — Actual Match Statistics
Mamelodi Sundowns nicked a narrow win over ES Tunis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 80% of the ball to ES Tunis's 20%, shots finished 9-4, expected goals 0.58 to 0.17.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, ES Tunis led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 1.00 for ES Tunis.
What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis?
Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 ES Tunis in the CAF Champions League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 43%, draw 29%, ES Tunis 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.