Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mamelodi Sundowns v ES Tunis — Team-Based Signals
Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Mamelodi Sundowns
CAFŞL
1-2
HT 1-1
ES Tunis
CAFŞL
Mamelodi Sundowns 0-1 ES Tunis — Actual Match Statistics
ES Tunis squeezed past Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Mamelodi Sundowns at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.
On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 72% of the ball to ES Tunis's 28%, shots finished 27-6, expected goals 2.22 to 0.46 — the balance of chances actually favoured Mamelodi Sundowns.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, ES Tunis led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 1.00 for ES Tunis.
What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis?
Mamelodi Sundowns 0-1 ES Tunis in the CAF Champions League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 48%, draw 31%, ES Tunis 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) went the other way.