ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ES Tunis v Mamelodi Sundowns — Team-Based Signals
ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Mamelodi Sundowns
CAFŞL
1-2
HT 1-1
ES Tunis
CAFŞL
ES Tunis 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns — Actual Match Statistics
ES Tunis edged past Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, ES Tunis had 39% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 61%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 1.16 to 0.77.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, ES Tunis had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ES Tunis and 0.50 for Mamelodi Sundowns.
What was the final score of ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
ES Tunis 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns in the CAF Champions League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 43%, draw 25%, Mamelodi Sundowns 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.