TP Mazembe 0-0 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 20 Apr 2024

TP Mazembe
0-0 HT 0-0
Al Ahly
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
CAF Champions League – 2023/2024

TP Mazembe vs Al Ahly Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.2
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.64
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.4pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

TP Mazembe v Al Ahly — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TP Mazembe EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 32%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.59/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.22
+96% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.2 Crosses 9.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

TP Mazembe 0-0 Al Ahly — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TP Mazembe
0-0
AWAY Al Ahly
2.14 xG 0.83
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
383 Passes 185
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
24 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH TP Mazembe vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TP Mazembe and Al Ahly fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, TP Mazembe had 63% of the ball to Al Ahly's 37%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.14 to 0.83.

What was the final score of TP Mazembe vs Al Ahly?

TP Mazembe 0-0 Al Ahly in the CAF Champions League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TP Mazembe vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated a TP Mazembe win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split TP Mazembe 36%, draw 33%, Al Ahly 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (TP Mazembe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TP Mazembe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AŞL More CAF Champions League
20 Apr 2024
22:00 ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns Analysis →