Al Ahly 1-0 Al Hilal Omdurman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.6
No
57%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.04
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.5
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
25.0
X/1
24%
3.52
X/2
4%
22.0
X/X
8%
6.35
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
8%
22.9
2/X
8%
31.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
73%
-10.4pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
+9.1pp
57%
BTTS No
66%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Omdurman EU Bookmakers 11%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +71% / +71%
2.32/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.13
+47% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 74%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
16.4 Crosses 8.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Hilal Omdurman
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.37 xG 0.78
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
419 Passes 232
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman AŞL
18.02.2023 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly AŞL
03.04.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman AŞL
18.02.2022 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly AŞL
01.02.2020 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly AŞL
06.12.2019 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman AŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
1-0
AWAY Al Hilal Omdurman
0.78 xG 0.22
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
446 Passes 145
85% Pass Accuracy 60%
25 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Al Hilal Omdurman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly squeezed past Al Hilal Omdurman 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahly had 69% of the ball to Al Hilal Omdurman's 31%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.78 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ahly and 0.50 for Al Hilal Omdurman.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

Al Ahly 1-0 Al Hilal Omdurman in the CAF Champions League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 62%, draw 22%, Al Hilal Omdurman 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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