RSB Berkane 1-0 ASEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.52
Over 2.5
55%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
3.34
No
59%
1.28
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.19
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
5.16
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 5.16 — our 25% vs market 13.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.58
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
31.0
X/1 EV+ ✓
34%
3.25
X/2
4%
23.75
X/X
6%
4.95
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
7%
27.5
2/X
9%
35.0
Value flag · X/1 at 3.25 — our 34% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
72%
-7.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
62%
-16.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
38%
+16.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
26%
+15.5pp
59%
BTTS No
74%
-15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RSB Berkane EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY ASEC EU Bookmakers 9%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.73/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.90
+25% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
609 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 191 · 68%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
25.3 Crosses 13.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RSB Berkane
2W-0D-1L
AWAY ASEC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 1.04
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
306 Passes 300
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2025 ASEC 0-1 HT 0-0 RSB Berkane RSB Berkane CAFKK
03.04.2022 RSB Berkane RSB Berkane 1-0 HT 1-0 ASEC CAFKK
20.02.2022 ASEC 3-1 HT 0-0 RSB Berkane RSB Berkane CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RSB Berkane
1-0
AWAY ASEC
0.68 xG 0.37
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 5
422 Passes 273
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH RSB Berkane vs ASEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RSB Berkane squeezed past ASEC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had RSB Berkane as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, RSB Berkane had 58% of the ball to ASEC's 42%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.68 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, RSB Berkane had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RSB Berkane and 1.00 for ASEC.

What was the final score of RSB Berkane vs ASEC?

RSB Berkane 1-0 ASEC in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RSB Berkane vs ASEC?

Before kick-off our model rated a RSB Berkane win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split RSB Berkane 64%, draw 20%, ASEC 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RSB Berkane), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RSB Berkane) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CAFKK More CAF Konfederasyon Cup
9 Apr 2025
16:00 Simba vs Al Masry Analysis →
19:00 Zamalek vs Stellenbosch FC Analysis →
22:00 USM Alger vs CS Constantine Analysis →