USM Alger 1-1 CS Constantine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.45
Over 2.5
47%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.85
6+ Goals
11%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.57
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.85
X/1
21%
3.93
X/2
10%
8.56
X/X
10%
3.75
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
10%
8.17
2/X
8%
18.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
65%
-12.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
35%
+12.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.2pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Constantine EU Bookmakers 23%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.27/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/1.72
-42% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +77%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.9
21.2 Crosses 8.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CS Constantine
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2024 CS Constantine CS Constantine 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
03.06.2024 CS Constantine CS Constantine 1-1 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
31.01.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 1-2 HT 0-0 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
15.07.2023 CS Constantine CS Constantine 3-0 HT 2-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
24.12.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 1-0 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
21.01.2022 CS Constantine CS Constantine 1-1 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
1-1
AWAY CS Constantine
1.46 xG 0.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
305 Passes 288
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs CS Constantine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger and CS Constantine shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was USM Alger at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, USM Alger had 51% of the ball to CS Constantine's 49%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.46 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Constantine led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for USM Alger and 1.50 for CS Constantine.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs CS Constantine?

USM Alger 1-1 CS Constantine in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs CS Constantine?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 50%, draw 25%, CS Constantine 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (USM Alger), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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