Tigres UANL 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 26% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-5.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 18%
+14% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.97/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.19
+25% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -31%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
410 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
458 Passes 377
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
02.04.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
3-2
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
400 Passes 296
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs Los Angeles Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL edged past Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 55% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 45%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Tigres UANL 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy in the CONCACAF Champions League on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 58%, draw 23%, Los Angeles Galaxy 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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