Cruz Azul 2-1 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.12
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 31% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+9.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
40%
-8.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.6pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +50%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
Crosses 13.8
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Club America
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 1.25
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
417 Passes 283
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2025 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul CON
09.12.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 3-4 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
06.12.2024 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
01.09.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 4-1 HT 2-1 Club America Club America MEK
27.05.2024 Club America Club America 1-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
24.05.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-1 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
2-1
AWAY Club America
1.37 xG 0.59
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
346 Passes 285
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 23
29 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul nicked a narrow win over Club America 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 55% of the ball to Club America's 45%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.37 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.17 for Club America.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Club America?

Cruz Azul 2-1 Club America in the CONCACAF Champions League on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 42%, draw 26%, Club America 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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