Club America 1-0 Cruz Azul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒04:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.45
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.49
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.15
X/1
15%
3.94
X/2
12%
8.23
X/X
12%
4.28
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
15%
6.93
2/X
10%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-10.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -11%
1.64/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.41
+2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
18.8 Crosses 14.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Cruz Azul
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.52 xG 0.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
395 Passes 389
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.05.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-1 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
25.02.2024 Club America Club America 1-0 HT 1-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
03.09.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-3 HT 1-3 Club America Club America MEK
16.04.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-3 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
21.08.2022 Club America Club America 7-0 HT 3-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
01.05.2022 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
1-0
AWAY Cruz Azul
1.58 xG 1.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
350 Passes 420
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club America vs Cruz Azul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America squeezed past Cruz Azul 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Club America had 47% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 53%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.58 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Club America and 0.67 for Cruz Azul.

What was the final score of Club America vs Cruz Azul?

Club America 1-0 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Cruz Azul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Club America 41%, draw 27%, Cruz Azul 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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