Cruz Azul 1-1 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.49
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
9%
5.98
X/2
12%
4.91
X/X
17%
4.05
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.41
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.5pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.1pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.7pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
1.02/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.12
-7% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
21.4 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Club America
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.78 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
357 Passes 394
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Club America Club America 1-0 HT 1-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
03.09.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-3 HT 1-3 Club America Club America MEK
16.04.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-3 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
21.08.2022 Club America Club America 7-0 HT 3-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
01.05.2022 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
01.11.2021 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-1 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
1-1
AWAY Club America
1.16 xG 2.28
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
540 Passes 286
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul and Club America couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 64% of the ball to Club America's 36%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 1.16 to 2.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cruz Azul and 2.50 for Club America.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Club America?

Cruz Azul 1-1 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 31%, draw 33%, Club America 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Club America), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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