Cruz Azul vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Club America — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-3
Club America
MEK
1-3
HT 1-1
Club America
MEK
7-0
HT 3-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
Cruz Azul 4-1 Club America — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul swept aside Club America 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Cruz Azul made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 54% of the ball to Club America's 46%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.93 to 0.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cruz Azul and 2.67 for Club America.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Club America?
Cruz Azul 4-1 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Club America?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 38%, draw 24%, Club America 38%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.