Cruz Azul vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Club America — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-3
Club America
MEK
Cruz Azul 3-4 Club America — Actual Match Statistics
Club America squeezed past Cruz Azul 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Cruz Azul at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 63% of the ball to Club America's 37%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.38 to 1.07 — on chances, Cruz Azul could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.17 for Club America.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Club America?
Cruz Azul 3-4 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Club America?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 47%, draw 26%, Club America 27%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.