Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-4.5pp
17%
Draw
20%
-2.2pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.33/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.19
+30% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +48%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
422 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.10.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-1 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool ESTK
30.09.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
22.07.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
12.05.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-1 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
19.03.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
3-0
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju ran out comfortable winners over Harju Jalgpallikool 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 60% of the ball to Harju Jalgpallikool's 40%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 0.80 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 60%, draw 17%, Harju Jalgpallikool 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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