Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-12.1pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.7pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 14%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +33%
2.64/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.98
+17% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-1 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
18.08.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
18.06.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
03.03.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
23.09.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-0 HT 3-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
30.06.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-1 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1-0
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond nicked a narrow win over Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 38% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 62%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 0.33 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 59%, draw 22%, Parnu JK Vaprus 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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