Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 19%
-10% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.97/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.67
+1% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.06.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
03.03.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
23.09.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-0 HT 3-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
30.06.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-1 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
21.05.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
23.04.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 HT 2-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1-0
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond edged past Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 67% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 33%, shots finished 17-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 0.83 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 54%, draw 22%, Parnu JK Vaprus 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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